I was just about to scream abuse at the telly when something extraordinary happened. Alan Hansen said something incisive.
The screen showed stats from Chelsea’s victory over Hull. Jose Mourinho’s men had marginally more possession, at 52 to 48 per cent. And they had a slightly better pass completion, at 85.5 to 83.5 per cent.
I had been working at the Stamford Bridge match. I didn’t doubt the figures, but knew the implication that it had been a fairly even contest was drivel.
Yet, just as I cleared my throat to shout at Match of the Day 2, Hansen began to debunk the statistics. He explained that Chelsea’s possession and completed passes were largely in and around the Hull penalty area. For their part, Steve Bruce’s boys retained the ball well at times – but only in their own half in the hope that nobody wearing blue would get too close.
Chelsea (operating with only one striker, by the way) won the game in the first 24 minutes and then put on the cruise control – proving that football stats without elaboration can usher us away from the truth.
Bradley Johnson has suffered from this. Perhaps that is why he is hiding behind that shocking beard.
According to various stats – there are different companies which provide them from games and they seldom agree on the numbers – bearded Bradley gives the ball away rather a lot and doesn’t provide many penetrative passes.
Yes, but that would be because of his job.
He is the screen in front of our defence, in combat every week with opposition forwards and attacking midfielders – the best creative talents in the most competitive division on the planet.
His task is to chivvy and harass, bully and block. He must get something – anything – in front of shots and passes. He must scuffle and scurry to protect and save.
If he manages to gain clean possession then his next primary task is to secure that possession: give the ball to a team-mate who is better placed or under less pressure. But he has to do that in the busiest, most populated part of the field.
Last season I thought he was a candidate for City’s player of the season. The stats said otherwise, but I saw with my own eyes. I watched game after game when Brad scrapped to keep Norwich in the contest.
And when this campaign restarted with that home draw against Everton, I thought hairy Johnson was outstanding once more, particularly as his midfield partner, Johnny Howson, was surging forward more (probably encouraged by those two spectacular goals at the end of the last season as well as by the management).
There were more misleading stats from the game. One set said Everton had enjoyed 67 per cent of the possession: an extraordinary figure for a visiting team. Opta, the company used by the Press Association and the BBC, later declared Everton’s possession to have been only 56 per cent – still good but not so substantially better than Norwich to raise alarms.
Frankly, either way, the Carrow Road stats don’t tell the story with any more clarity than those from the Stamford Bridge game.
Roberto Martinez set out his team very interestingly. Despite what the graphics displayed by Sky and MotD said, Marouane Fellaini started in a Johnson role – just in front of his defence. In that deep deployment, he nullified Wesley Hoolahan, and so blunted one of City’s most potent weapons.
Martinez had told his fullbacks to push forward and gave Ross Barkley licence to roam. The tactics were very un-Moyse. They belied the notion that Everton might struggle under Martinez – if they keep Fellaini. We must hope they do retain him. We don’t want to face him three times this season.
The general appraisal of Everton, though, was that a good team played very well. In the period during which they overturned our lead and took one for themselves, they looked likely winners.
They didn’t win, though. Norwich showed a resilience and ability which filled me with hope, especially when I factored in how many probable “starters” were out injured or suspended.
I’d say there were at least four missing. Last season, if we’d lost four first choice players, we’d have lost the match.
But that was before a summer like none any of us who care about the great club from the fine city have ever experienced before.
Ron Saunders signed David Cross from Rochdale and Jim Bone from Partick for his strike force. John Bond mostly shopped at Bournemouth, his former club.
Ken Brown raided Spurs for a job lot of their reserves – Ian Crook, Ian Culverhouse, Mark Bowen and John Polston – to provide the core of the team which Mike Walker took to third place in the first ever Premier League table and then on a rampage into Europe.
The single most influential signing of all time was possibly the Boxing Day 2003 capture of Darren Huckerby. Then, the following season, Dean Ashton was drafted in during January to try to keep Norwich in the Premier League.
Huckerby was a fringe player at Manchester City before he joined us. Ashton was a promising talent at Crewe. And when it was Paul Lambert’s turn to buy for the top division, he stuck with the philosophy of seeking men with hunger and potential.
But, after keeping the vow to pay off all external debt by the end of May, the board kept another promise: to make building a strong team the absolute priority. Norwich have never, ever, shopped as ambitiously and as extravagantly for top, top players as they did in the summer we have just enjoyed.
The raft of exciting arrivals have raised expectations. So there was disappointment in some quarters that Everton were not swatted aside.
And there were some aspects of the match which will have concerned Chris Hughton. Here’s another stat, for instance: Ricky van Wolfswinkel only had 12 moments on the ball. That means that either he didn’t make himself available enough, didn’t challenge effectively enough or didn’t get sufficient service. I think all three were factors.
But again, the stats don’t reveal the whole truth. Because one of his touches was that sublime header. That single touch prompted those comedy howls from the Yellow Army which I believe will echo through this tantalising season.
And never forget the most significant numbers. Number of consecutive seasons in the Premier League: three. Amount of money owed to banks and other institutional lenders: nil. Cash spent on players this summer: £25 million.
The turn-around since 2009 is one of the greatest football success stories of the modern era. And it hasn’t finished yet.
These are exhilarating times to be a Norwich supporter. Those who carp and quibble now must just enjoy being miserable.
I figured that out for myself, without worrying about statistics.
How dare you mock Bradley’s splendid beard!
Great piece Mick, I can only echo the second to last paragraph. There are those who still moan about all things yellow and green, little do they realise they have never had it so good.
Enjoy the ride!
Couldn’t agree more. Another stat said 2 shots on target – but we scored 2 goals! How many matches have we sat through in the past, peppering the opposition goal to no avail, while they had two chances, two goals. We took our chances, and earned a deserved point. Good times to a canary fan!
Bang on, especially about Johnson and the fallacy of stats, targets etc. taken out of any kind of context.
Thank you for such an eloquently written article. As you so aptly say “Those who carp and quibble now must just enjoy being miserable.”
I agree with the premises of this excellent article. What the stats don’t show is the effect that speed and mobility of RvW had on Everton’s defending. They could not defend too high up the pitch for fear of the pacey RvW, Redmond and Bennett running in behind .
The fact that Everton packed the midfield and had the excellent Barkley running the show made it difficult for City to link defence and attack. But with Snoddy and Fer to bolster midfield even that should improve.
Bradley is the ‘anchor man’, the ‘enforcer’, the glue that holds the midfield together. Every team needs that role filled, a scrapper to get the ball back and break up the opposition’s game.
Claude Makelele at Chelsea springs to mind, although that’s where the similarities end between the two! Keep the beard and lose the tats would be my advice to Bradley. What is it with the current fad with the inky body.
As for stats;“Statistics are like bikinis. What they reveal is suggestive, but what they conceal is vital.”
A great piece… And if RvW only has 12 touches of the ball and scores from one, who cares? Don’t understand why fans insist players run round the pitch like headless chickens and call them lazy if they don’t. And as for Jonno, very much agree that he’s doing his job, and doing it very well indeed.
Russ (7) – Nice analogy, but am slightly disturbed by your knowledge of bikinis! 😉
Sharon (8) – Good point re Ricky and his 12 touches. If, for the remainder of his City career, he scores with every twelfth touch I don’ suppose there will be too many complaints!
Couldn’t agree more about it being a great time to be a city supporter. Only slightly concerned that we seem to put so little emphasis on possession. Denying the opposition the ball is a better defensive option than denying them space or time which is our current tactic.
Ball retention is also a lot more pleasing on the eye, easier on players stamina and probably a lot more rewarding for the players.
Re RVW’s 12 touches – one for the goal, one for the tackle and pass that set up Whittakers run for the other goal, one adjudged offside which looked harsh from my position nearly paralell with the linesman,one for the pass from the bye-line aimed at Wes which would have been a goal had Distain not been about six feet taller than Wes, one as a mistimed header that came off his shoulder onto an Everton player and out for a corner.
If that is all he does each game – and simply improves marginally that will do for me.
Gary (9) – I don’t wear them! Just admire from a distance.
Expecting Wenger to put in late bids for Bassong, Ruddy, Snodgrass and Hooper – let’s be honest, they need help in all those positions. Great to see Arsenal in turmoil – come on you Fenebache.
I have never understood why statistics are used in football. If a manager cannot see what is happening on the pitch, or communicate the tactical plan in an understandable way to the players then they shouldn’t be managing.
Great article, to add something different I agree our best is yet to come. Hughton built attacking sides at Newcastle and Birmingham and with the right forwards and the right wide men I’m optimistic we’ll see a different Norwich. Last season Hughton did the best he could with what he inherited. OTBC
Great article Mick, as usual you’re incisive in your views.
Football seems to be stats crazy at the moment and I guess one can understand why. A lot of the numbers can look interesting, they can be a useful way of making comparisons between players and teams and they give fans and the media content to discuss. However, stats should never be sought to tell the whole story, there’s always much more to consider if we want to understand the clear picture of a performance or game. Stats can sometime encourage lazy analysis…let’s ensure we all look deeper than this!
Thanks for the article.
very good stuff. Don’t worry about RVW. he showed pace; excellent positional skills and fight.OK not many touches: but spookily I liked his high foul count. He gets stuck in. It was he who shored up the left side of the defence ( Garrido absent too often on parade) and set up the first goal. The team did not “feed the wolf” so he hardly got a sniff of the rabbit. With the grown ups back: Bassong; Fer; Snodgrass; the team we will learn how to exploit him.
Agreed. Lies, damned lies, and statistics!
Read into stats what you like, but do not make life- (or team-) changing decisions based on them. Individual players performances may look ‘poor’ – but they may be doing just what the manger has directed them to do.
I must admit to also being slightly concerned that RvW was going to be ‘lightweight’ compared to GH, but I think we have ourselves a very solid striker.
And thankfully Russ’s ‘mankini’ (7) covers his vitals.
i’ve been city fan for two years and i am relishing the moment as well. There’s a lot of adventure in supporting the team that has true fans rather than those type of plastic type fans…and you feel really awesome when you’re fan of a unknown team (i’m from asia)…up the Canaries