A new year and a new guest blog to welcome it in. The floor is handed over to regular commenter and occasional guest blogger Alex Bain, who looks at the changes brought about by Brexit and some of the transfers rumours already emanating…
Well. we are now officially entering Silly Season, or at least a silly part of the season, so a few thoughts…
Now that Brexit has finally been completed, new rules come into play for overseas players; new rules that are going to really put pressure on academies to produce the next generation of home grown players.
Clubs with good academies that are not in the Premier League are going to be hounded into selling their best prospects or finding innovative ways of getting them to stay, At present youth players can sign contracts with a club at 16 years old but it is now being suggested this be reduced to 13 years-of-age due to the EPL, EFL, PFA and government agreeing that no EU players under 18 can be signed. There is no mention of allowing players under 18 to join clubs in Europe.
All players will have to comply with what is known as the Governing Body Endorsement (GBE); a points-based system, where points are scored for senior and talented young players based on…
1. Senior and youth international appearances.
2. The quality of the selling club, based on the league they are in, league position and progression in continental competition.
3. Club appearances, based on domestic league and continental competition minutes.
In the Premier League, the number of overseas under-21 players a club can sign will be limited to three in the January transfer window and six per season moving forwards. This is designed to enable the recruitment of the best players from around the world to train and play together with homegrown talent.
Under FIFA’s rules, the UK’s exit from the EU will also mean that clubs will not be able to sign players from overseas until they are 18.
My question to FIFA is why is the restriction on under 18’s worldwide?
1. I can understand the ban on European players but a blanket ban is a strange one.
2. Does this ban stop clubs worldwide poaching UK based players?
For the full agreement the link is here.
To me it feels like UEFA and FIFA are envious of the Premier League’s worldwide success and are trying to control it any way possible, so restricting the signing of youth players is one way.
The ‘silly season’ wouldn’t be silly without transfer rumours, so…
City Rumours – Out
During the summer window he was linked to Barcelona, Bayern Munich and Spurs. Now we have the January 2021 window Manchester United, Manchester City, Spurs, Arsenal and Everton in the frame. The fees mentioned vary from £15m to £30m.
The question is, would he want to leave when he could add another promotion to his achievements and possibly not get game time at a new club?
There was, of course, that well know hiccup in the autumn when no offers came in for him, even with his agent touting him around to anyone who would listen.
Leeds were mentioned although it seems it was never official, but already Leeds, Everton, Leicester, Spurs, Palace and Villa have been mentioned in dispatches. The fees mentioned vary from £12m to £25m!
Again, will we see a reaction if he isn’t sold or has he learnt a valuable lesson from Daniel Farke? He has recently been back to his best by playing lots of games, but at the clubs mentioned, would he get those games to adapt to their system? Or would he be a bench warmer?
A similar situation to Cantwell in many respects, with his agent touting him around to the big clubs.
In the summer of 2020, Leeds, Leicester, West Ham, Arsenal and Spurs were reportedly ‘interested’, but already Atletico Madrid and Wolves have been added to that list in the gossip columns. There are big variances in fees mentioned, ranging from £12m to £30m.
In truth, any of these clubs would be good destinations for Emi but, as with Cantwell, it would be limited game time unless the buying club is planning to make a spot for him. But still it would be a case of adapting to those new surroundings and new playing styles and if things aren’t going well he does have the odd temperament issue.
There is lots of speculation in Scotland that Rangers are will to pay £4+m for his services. The big question is would Stuart Webber and Farke be tempted to do a deal and bring someone else in?
He is an asset to the team but during his spell out through injury, Farke managed with what he had available, so possibly Webber may be tempted.
City Rumours in
After a couple of years with major ACL injuries to both knees he seems to be getting back to his best. He is currently on a short term contract at Middlesbrough, one that Warnock wants to make into a long term offer, but Colin has said he will let him go if City, or someone else makes him a suitable offer. He has scored five in three so far this season.
Perhaps the potential for a McLean replacement? An all action midfielder, the player says he is happy to stay at Lincoln and would sign a new contract, but it is up to the club. He has scored seven goals and made four assists this season. The fee would likely be between £500k and £1m.
Personally, I hope that we sign a new left back as I just don’t think Quintilla is physically up to lasting a full Championship season. Another option is to negotiate a return for Sam McCallum.
Mistakes were made during the summer window, in my opinion. We signed Jordan Hugill when we had the chance to sign Ivan Toney for a little more, or we could have persevered vith Josip Drmic. Last season he was hit by injuries while adapting to a new country but we have tried to cut our losses with him and Mo Leitner and that has failed. Both are being paid, neither are training, so who will buy them?
Tom Trybull’s loan to Blackburn likely came at a cost to City as they will be paying a percentage of his pay, so along with Drmic and Leitner, there are savings there to be made if the right deals can be done.
Finally, Barnsley have announced that the signing of Carlton Morris is nearly complete but he won’t be available for tomorrow’s game at Carrow Road. I wish him all the best for a career in South Yorkshire and be prepared for a hostile welcome when you go to Rotherham!