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WEST HAM PREVIEW: More at stake than might appear at first glance

WEST HAM PREVIEW: More at stake than might appear at first glance

6th May 2022 By Stewart Lewis 10 Comments

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Another Norwich game – at this stage, who cares?

Well, there are one or two reasons to.

I’ll get to a preview of the game. First, with your indulgence, a detour.

A good friend of mine is a life-long Fulham fan. We share thoughts and reminiscences on the – remarkably similar – highs and lows our clubs have brought us.

Talking after Fulham clinched the Championship title this week, I said “I know exactly how you’re feeling”. He replied he knew exactly how I was feeling too – before adding that he was already dreading next season.

He said he envied me next season when Norwich would be challenging for yet another promotion. I baulked, as many City fans probably would right now.

While every relegation feels lousy, this season’s been as depressing as any since we went down to League 1 in 2009. Last summer was an out-and-out disaster: Covid’s wrecking of our carefully planned pre-season, accompanied by a set of signings that proved unfit for the immediate and prime purpose of staying in the Premier League.

Even with that bad foundation, we had a right to expect more spirit and desire from our players than they’ve often shown us.

So it’s hard to feel optimism as we stand. On sober reflection, though, I suspect my friend may be right.

Dean Smith and Stuart Webber both have exceptional records of preparing teams for the Championship. There’ll be changes to the squad this summer – something that wasn’t possible in January – to align it with the plans of Smith and Craig Shakespeare. Like his literary namesake, Shakey also knows a thing or two about his profession.

In the Championship context, we’ll have some significant advantages – including a core of players with the experience and know-how to lead us. And, of course, a passionate home crowd, if they’re given something to get behind.

Some would look at our season ticket sales and say our fans are too forgiving. But it’s a fantastic asset, as Dean Smith is well aware.

As a potential bonus, Smith and Shakey have another crack at solving the riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma that’s Todd Cantwell. There’s still a really good player in there somewhere.

Time will tell about all that. Meanwhile, there’s Saturday’s game with West Ham.

The Hammers suffered disappointment last night, losing the second-leg of their Europa League semi-final against Eintracht Frankfurt and so getting knocked out of the competition, but we know they’ll be tough opposition on Saturday – because that’s the way with David Moyes.

I confess I’m a long-term admirer. A few years ago someone published an analysis of Premier League teams, comparing their resources with league positions. The two were highly correlated, as they still would be: the clubs with bigger resources tended to fill the top positions.

But one exception stood out, a club that hugely over-achieved on the field in relation to its resources and spending: David Moyes’ Everton.

He’d done the same at Preston, and now does it at West Ham (who were in the relegation zone when he arrived in November 2017).

At Everton, he twice won the LMA Manager of the Year. For me, he should be a strong candidate again this year. The Hammers will fall just short of a Champions League spot – but look at the spending of the clubs around them, and the fact they’ve been in contention is nothing short of remarkable.

So: West Ham are still fighting to consolidate at least another Europa Cup spot, and they’re exactly the kind of pressing team that Norwich tends to struggle against. We’re relegated; our performances were insipid even before it was confirmed.

Why could we possibly look forward to Sunday?

Well, perhaps “look forward” isn’t quite right. But there’s a fair bit at stake, for City as well as the Hammers.

For one thing, it’s worth a couple of million pounds to finish 19th rather than 20th. I’d rather Norwich had that money than Watford; I suspect Dean Smith and Stuart Webber would agree.

There’s also the mood of the place.

The past fortnight has been one of turmoil and unhappiness in the Canary family. Showing some pride on the pitch would help take the sting out of fans’ discontent.

One thing I don’t expect is wholesale change in our team selection. That would undermine the integrity of the game and disrespect the teams around West Ham. Smith will try to put out his strongest starting XI.

That said, it may be that someone like Jon Rowe gets more game time than previously. Especially if the expectation of leaving at the end of the season – which seems to be the case for Milot Rashica, for example – shows in players’ performances and commitment.

I’ve long since given up making score predictions (though they were perhaps the most entertaining bit of my columns, when compared to the actual results). But I’m hoping Norwich will give a decent account of themselves and leave us with a bit of pride and optimism for next year.

Optimistically, I’ll proffer that there’ll be one goal in it.

Best wishes to all, and – despite everything – OTBC.


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Comments

  1. martin+penney says

    6th May 2022 at 1:07 pm

    Hi Stew

    Interesting that you mentioned Todd Cantwell in the way you did – an enigma indeed.

    Three managers with reputations for bringing on young players have failed to get a tune out of him this season, as in Daniel Farke, Dean Smith alnd latterly Scott Parker.

    Something has gone seriously wrong here – and while some might care to speculate I doubt any of us know the full reasoning behind this fall from grace.

    It’s such a shame because like you say there is [or certainly was] a footballer in there somewhere and it will be interesting to see what transpires over the next few months.

    3
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  2. Jamie Lauder says

    6th May 2022 at 1:48 pm

    Great article.

    I hadn’t considered the difference in prize money between 20th and 19th!

    I wouldn’t be playing any loan players for the rest of the season, and agree Jon Rowe’s inclusion is a necessity.

    3
    Reply
  3. Mark says

    6th May 2022 at 2:04 pm

    I agree Jamie re: not playing any loanees now in our final four games. It’s time to give Dimi, Sorensen (why hasn’t he had more game time this season BTW ?) etc an extended run in the team. If it is to be believed and Aarons is a planned sale, why risk an injury and jeopardise a possible transfer ? Sorry but IMHO Byram is a better pound-4-pound full-back (if you pardon the analogy). I’ve read a lot of negativity over the last few weeks, predominantly on this MFW site….Norwich fans do like a moan and always fear the worst..We have to be optimistic for the 2022/23 season and a possible promotion push. I live in Derby….all my mates have been through the wringer this season….be grateful as a club we’re not in their predicament…..
    OTBC

    5
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  4. Stewart+Lewis says

    6th May 2022 at 4:17 pm

    Excellent comments – thanks, all.

    Reply
  5. Keith B says

    6th May 2022 at 8:55 pm

    I totally disagree with the idea of not playing the loan players. On the contrary I’d keep playing anyone who we think won’t be here next season and let as many as possible will have a rest, especially Byram. If we think Aaron and Rashica want out then I’d sooner they play and risk injury than those who we need as fresh as possible in only 12 weeks time.

    I do agree about giving Sorensen and Rowe some game time, but I can’t see that Dean Smith will learn much that he doesn’t already know about his squad’s suitability for a Championship slog in the remaining PL games.

    3
    Reply
    • Phil says

      6th May 2022 at 11:27 pm

      Totally agree re loan players. We are paying for their time so use it IMO. Lungi has been shockingly overlooked this season for me but we are but fans so what do we know? Well written article as always 👌

      2
      Reply
  6. JohnF says

    7th May 2022 at 11:03 am

    We’ll play our loan players rather than Sorensen and lose 3-0.
    Dean Smith will say he was pleased with the effort the lads gave.
    The ground will be half empty by the end.
    Delia will smile at the camera as league 1 beckons.
    Please, please, please somebody who is prepared to invest in the club make Delia an offer even she can’t refuse and deliver us from this embarrassing nightmare.

    2
    Reply
  7. AlexB says

    7th May 2022 at 11:49 am

    Hi

    Not seen any stories that Rashica wants out but have seen a couple that there might be a few clubs Interested in but will the be willing to bid enough to get city to part with him.

    Kabak I heard was back at Shalka04 after another injury.

    Gilmour could be used from the bench but I’m not sure how that works on his loan fee the more he plays the less we pay.

    Williams has been the best of the loans and personnelly think he would have been better used in the Skipp role of last season.

    Normann like Kabak joined with a poor injury record last minute panic recruitment but has shown glimpses of what could be and rumours are Leicester very interested now city have paid to get his hip problems sorted.

    The big question for DS&CS is getting possibly more points on the board or start to build for next season, relegation with have hit the confidence no matter how long it has been expected so if a couple of late season wins could start to build a new togetherness for next season that would be the place to start.

    2
    Reply
  8. Keith Fuller says

    8th May 2022 at 1:53 pm

    Excellent article Stewart.

    You have capture my thoughts and feelings precisely.

    Keith

    Reply
    • Stewart+Lewis says

      8th May 2022 at 5:53 pm

      Shame I was over-optimistic about the score!

      Reply

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